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Bech Ulriksen posted an update 1 week ago
The 76-day lockdown of Wuhan city has successfully contained the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. However, to date few studies have evaluated the hospital bed shortage for COVID-19 during the lockdown and none for non-COVID-19 patients, although such data are important for better preparedness of the future outbreak.
We built a compartmental model to estimate the daily numbers of hospital bed shortage for patients with mild, severe and critical COVID-19, taking account of underreport and diagnosis delay.
The maximal daily shortage of inpatient beds for mild, severe and critical COVID-19 patients was 43,960 (95% confidence interval 35,246, 52,929), 2,779 (1,395, 4,163) and 196 (143, 250) beds in early February 2020. An earlier or later lockdown would have greatly increased the shortage of hospital beds in Wuhan. The overwhelmed healthcare system might have delayed the provision of health care to both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients during the lockdown. The second wave in Wuhan could have occurred in June 2020 if social distancing measures had waned in early March 2020. The hospital bed shortage was estimated much smaller in the potential second wave than in the first one.
Our findings suggest that the timing and strength of lockdown is important for the containment of the COVID-19 outbreaks. The healthcare needs of non-COVID-19 patients in the pandemic warrant more investigations.
Our findings suggest that the timing and strength of lockdown is important for the containment of the COVID-19 outbreaks. The healthcare needs of non-COVID-19 patients in the pandemic warrant more investigations.
Sepsis is the primary cause of mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU), mainly due to sepsis-induced dysfunction of essential organs such as the heart and lungs. This study investigated the myocardium’s epigenetic characterization from septic mice to identify potential treatment targets for septic myocardial dysfunction.
Cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) was used to induce sepsis in male C57BL/6 mice. Hearts were collected 24 h after surgery to determine the expression profiles of long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) and messenger RNAs (mRNAs) by microarray. To validate the reliability of microarray results, we randomly chose six differentially expressed lncRNAs for qRT-PCR. Functional mapping of differentially expressed mRNAs was annotated with gene ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analyses; lncRNA-mRNA co-expression network was constructed to reveal connections between lncRNAs and mRNAs.
Microarray analysis indicated that 1,568 lncRNAs and 2,166 mRNAs were differenteir interacting mRNAs may participate in the pathogenesis of septic myocardial dysfunction by regulating TNF and PI3K-Akt signaling pathways.
Cancer of unknown primary (CUP) has a variable prognosis and lacks any standard staging systems. We aim to improve the prediction of survival in patients with CUP by constructing a nomogram based on a real-world, population analysis.
We performed a population analysis of patients diagnosed with CUP between 2010 and 2016 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients with complete study variables were respectively assigned to training and validation cohorts by diagnostic time. A prognostic nomogram was established based on the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model and was evaluated through calculating the Harrell’s C-index and plotting calibration curves.
In total, 19,543 patients were identified under the selection criteria, and 3,347 cases with complete study variables were included for developing and validating the nomogram. Covariates incorporated in the final nomogram were sex, age, histological type, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and the number of metastatquires further validation in external cohorts, since important clinical factors such as favorable/unfavorable subset, performance status, lactate dehydrogenase, blood cell counts, or metastatic patterns limited to multiple lymph nodes could not be considered due to the lack of availability of these data.
Metabolic healthy obesity (MHO) is a unique subgroup of overweight and obese individuals with normal metabolic characteristics. Its association with the risk of stroke remains unclear. We aimed to examine the risk of stroke in MHO individuals and the further associations between stroke and metabolic abnormalities under different bodyweight conditions.
We systematically searched PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library from December 1946 to January 2019, and only included prospective cohort studies. Random effects models were used to evaluate the pooled risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of incident stroke.
A total of eight studies comprising 4,256,888 participants were included in the meta-analysis. MHO individuals had an increased risk of stroke compared with metabolically healthy normal weight (MH-NW) individuals (RR =1.17, 95% CI 1.11-1.23). However, the stroke risk of metabolically healthy overweight individuals was the same (RR =1.02, 95% CI 0.84-1.23). All groups with unhealthy metabolism had a similarly elevated risk normal weight (RR =1.83, 95% CI 1.57-2.14), overweight (RR =1.93, 95% CI 1.44-2.58), and obesity (RR =2.00, 95% CI 1.40-2.87).
The meta-analysis confirms a positive association between MHO phenotype and the risk of stroke. Individuals with metabolic abnormalities under different bodyweight conditions are at elevated risk.
The meta-analysis confirms a positive association between MHO phenotype and the risk of stroke. Individuals with metabolic abnormalities under different bodyweight conditions are at elevated risk.
Laryngeal mask airway (LMA) is a prominent supraglottic airway device, widely used especially in difficult airway management. However, the LMA sizes recommended by the manufacturers are not always well matched in clinical practice, which leads to complications. To date, there are rare models to validate whether the manufacturers’ standard is suitable for use in clinical practice.
A total of 58,956 patients undergoing general anesthesia using LMA device were included in the study between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2018, to validate the adherence rate of LMA sizes according to the manufacturers’ recommendations. A logistic regression analysis was performed based on the actual LMA size used in clinical practice to establish separately size selection guidelines with gender, weight, and age as variables in adults, adolescents, and children.
LMA insertions were analyzed in 50,776 (86.1%) adults, 3,548 (6%) adolescents, and 4,632 (7.9%) children. Necrostatin 2 in vitro Suitability of manufacturers’ recommendations was higher in children [male 86.